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NBA
Tuesday, March 16
7 Free Picks, all backed by In-Depth Analysis, plus more Rated Selections from the nation's premier sports analysts, are available daily at ATSedge.com
NBA
San Antonio (39-25, 33-30-1 ATS) at Miami (35-32, 34-33 ATS)
Two teams riding three-game winning streaks hook up at American Airlines Arena in South Beach, where the Heat continue their playoff push when they host the Spurs.
San Antonio has been idle since Saturday's 118-88 beat-down of the Clippers, easily covering as an 11-point home favorite. In addition to winning their last three in a row, the Spurs are on a 7-1 SU surge, and they've cashed in a season-best seven consecutive games. During this eight-game push, San Antonio is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS on the road, the only setback being a 97-95 loss at Cleveland eight days ago. Still, the Spurs remain a .500 team on the highway (15-15, 14-16 ATS).
Miami has won three in a row SU and ATS, all in double-digit fashion and all at home. The Heat pummeled the Clippers 108-97 on Tuesday, the Bulls 108-95 on Thursday and the 76ers 104-91 on Sunday. They've started off the month 6-1 SU, with all six victories coming in American Airlines Arena. Miami also has followed up an 0-4 ATS drought by going 5-1 ATS in the last six. For the season, Dwyane Wade and Co. are 20-14 in South Beach (17-17 ATS).
San Antonio swept the season series from the Heat last year, winning 91-84 in Miami as a 3-point favorite and cruising 108-78 as a 7-point home chalk. The Spurs have won seven of the last nine meetings, and their two spread-covers last year ended Miami's 4-0 ATS run in this rivalry.
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In addition to cashing in seven straight games overall and four straight on the road, the Spurs are on ATS upticks of 9-1 against the Southeast Division and 5-1 versus winning teams.
Miami is on pointspread runs of 5-1 overall, 5-0 at home, 6-2 versus Western Conference woes, 4-0 against the Southwest Division, 4-0 after a day off, 5-1 following a double-digit win and 15-7-1 on Tuesday.
The under has cashed in six straight meetings between these squads and 17 of the last 19 overall. That includes an 8-1 "under" streak in Miami. On top of that, the Spurs are on "under" stretches of 5-1 overall, 14-6 on the road, 10-3-1 in Eastern Conference games, 36-16-2 versus the Southeast Division and 7-1 versus winning teams.
Miami carries "under" trends of 14-2 against winning teams, 15-7 against the Southwest Division, 34-16-1 after a spread-cover and 5-1 on Tuesday.
Conversely, the Heat have topped the total in six straight home games and six of their last seven overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN ANTONIO and UNDER
Al DeMarco, General Manager of ATS Edge.com, is a 25-year veteran of the handicapping industry who is also the featured handicapping analyst on Comcast Sports TV in Chicago and a regular contributor on Fox Sports and MSNBC. Read his Daily Blog for his gambling insight, tips and observations at ATSedge.com
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